🔔 NordFX Morning Up...من NORDFX Global

24 Jun 2026, 13:40 · Views 13,296

🔔 NordFX Morning Update – June 24, 2026 🌏 Asia mixed: Kospi rebounding hard, up as much as 4% intraday (Samsung +10% at best on buyback report, SK Hynix higher) after Tuesday's record 10% rout; Nikkei choppy between flat and -0.9%; Hang Seng -0.2%; Shanghai flat; ASX 200 +0.1-0.3%. 📉 Wall St fell overnight – Nasdaq -2.2%, S&P 500 -1.4%, Dow -0.1% – on AI-chip jitters after reports SK Hynix is shifting an AI memory line to standard DRAM. 💵 Dollar near 14-month highs (DXY ~101.3) as September Fed hike odds top 65%. EUR/USD near 1-year lows around 1.1420. 🛢 Oil at 4-month lows – Brent $76.8, WTI $73.0 – as Iran sanctions relief eases supply fears. 🥇 Gold extends its slide to ~$4,080/oz on dollar strength and rate-hike bets. 📅 Today: US new home sales, Fed bank stress test results, Micron/Paychex/Jefferies earnings. Eyes on Thursday's PCE inflation data. 📈 Trade smart with NordFX!

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FOMC Minutes vs July Fed: What Changed After Warsh's First SEP? | NordFX Market Insight The Fed just showed its cards, and traders did not love the hand. 🎯 On July 8, the Fed released minutes from Kevin Warsh's first meeting as chair (June 16 to 17). Rate held at 3.50% to 3.75%, unanimous vote, but the tone underneath was pure hawk. Wording: Warsh cut the statement to just 130 words and dropped the old easing bias entirely. The minutes confirm it was deliberate: a few members already saw a case for hiking in June, they simply chose to wait. Dots: 18 of 19 officials submitted 2026 projections. Nine leaned toward a hike, eight saw no change, one still expected a cut. Median year end rate rose to 3.8% from 3.4% in March. Warsh submitted no dot at all, staying deliberately data dependent. That silence is now the market's biggest wildcard into September. 🧩 Inflation risk: Core PCE was revised up to 3.3% for 2026 from 2.7%. Most participants flagged upside risk from AI investment, tariffs, and Middle East tensions. GDP growth trimmed to 2.2%. Labour tolerance: June payrolls came in at just 57K, the weakest in four months, with April and May revised down a combined 74K. The minutes still call conditions stable, but that gap between hawkish talk and a cooling jobs market is exactly what's driving repricing now. Markets: dollar firmer since June, gold pulling back to the 4,150 to 4,175 zone before stabilizing. CME FedWatch leans toward a hold on July 28 to 29, but September stays a coin flip. Add Middle East risk keeping oil bid, and volatility isn't fading soon. ⚡ Bottom line: a Fed that talks less means every data point until September carries more weight. CPI on July 14 is the next big trigger. Trade the volatility with tighter spreads and faster execution. 🚀 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

NORDFX Global

📊 NordFX Morning Update – July 10, 2026 🌏 Asia: Chip stocks are roaring back – Nikkei 225 up ~2%, Kospi surging over 4% as SK Hynix's Nasdaq debut looms today. Yen firmer on hopes GPIF shifts more into domestic assets, pulling JGB yields off 3-decade highs. Japan's June PPI hit +7.1% y/y – fastest since 2023 – keeping BOJ hike bets alive. 💶 EUR/USD: Trading near $1.146 this morning, edging up as traders price 30+ bps of extra ECB tightening this year. 🛢️ Oil: Brent holding near $78, steadying as US–Iran tensions ease and talks continue. 🥇 Gold: Back up near $4,140/oz, recovering from midweek dip as haven demand and central bank buying (China +10t in May) offset dollar strength. 🇺🇸 US: Fed's June minutes show few members favored a hike, but inflation concerns build under new Chair Warsh. Markets still lean toward one hike by year-end. 📌 Key driver today: chip sentiment (SK Hynix listing) + Iran-US de-escalation. ⚠️ Trade smart, manage your risk!

NORDFX Global

🌅 NordFX MORNING UPDATE – July 1, 2026

NORDFX Global

NFP Before a Holiday: Why Thin Liquidity Can Amplify the Dollar Move | NordFX Insight June's jobs report lands today, July 2, a day early since Friday, July 3 is a US market holiday ahead of Independence Day 📅 That pushes the market's biggest data point straight into a shortened, thin-liquidity session, and that combination tends to exaggerate whatever the headline says. The setup ADP's private payrolls came in at +98K for June, below May's +122K. Consensus for today's official NFP sits around 100K-115K, down from May's strong +172K beat, with unemployment risk tilted toward ticking up to 4.4% from 4.3%. Wage growth has been running near 3.4% YoY. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has scrapped traditional forward guidance, and markets have flipped from pricing cuts to pricing hike risk this year, largely on oil-driven inflation tied to Iran tensions. That's a real regime shift from where 2026 began. USD and gold right now The dollar is firm and near multi-month highs on hawkish Fed bets 💵 Gold has been volatile, breaking below $4,000 earlier this week to an eight-month low before rebounding to around $4,050-4,075 as of today, still capped by resistance near $4,100. A strong payrolls print likely pressures gold and lifts USD further; a soft one could spark a sharp reversal in both. Why the holiday matters With Friday closed, desks thin out early and order books get shallow ⚠️ The same surprise that moves USD pairs 40-50 pips on a normal day can easily go further today, and gold tends to see the same amplification, especially with Strait of Hormuz risk and Trump's tariff threats still simmering in the background 🌍 Bottom line Hawkish Fed repricing + thin holiday liquidity = bigger swings on smaller catalysts. Wider stops and smaller size are the sensible playbook into this print 🎯 Trade the reaction, not the guess. Open an account with NordFX 🚀 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

NORDFX Global

NordFX Forecast: Post Holiday Repricing – USD, Gold, Oil and Bitcoin After the NFP Shock 📊 The July 4 fireworks were still smoking when the jobs data lit a bigger one. June Nonfarm Payrolls printed just 57K versus 115K expected, with April and May slashed by a combined 74K. Unemployment "fell" to 4.2%, but only because discouraged workers left the labor force, participation dropped to 61.5%, the weakest since 2021. Wages held at 3.5% y/y. Underneath the headline: a labor market losing steam. 💵 USD – Rate hike odds for September tumbled toward 50% from near 67% pre print, and the dollar just logged its worst week since April. All eyes now on CPI (July 14) and the July 29 FOMC. Expect sharp, headline driven swings. 🥇 Gold – XAU/USD snapped back above $4,150 after four weekly losses in a row, riding the weaker dollar and fading hike bets. Still far from January's record near $5,600. $4,000 remains the line in the sand; a soft dollar keeps bulls in control for now. 🛢️ Oil – Brent near $72, WTI near $69, the calmest levels since before the US-Iran conflict began. Hormuz shipping is normalizing, Saudi and UAE exports are back close to pre war flows, and OPEC+ just added more barrels. But diplomacy is fragile, one bad headline could reignite the risk premium fast. ₿ Bitcoin – BTC sits in the low $60Ks, nowhere near 2025's $122K peak, as fragile risk appetite and Fed uncertainty keep buyers cautious. Views are split between a bounce toward $65-70K and another leg down if data disappoints again. 🔎 Bottom line: a cooling US economy, a shaky dollar, easing but unresolved geopolitical tension, markets are one headline away from their next big move. Trade this volatility with real conditions. Open an account with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... Not financial advice. Markets are volatile, trade responsibly.

NORDFX Global