NFP / U.S. Labor Mar...من Irie

NFP / U.S. Labor Market Update The report for September 2025 is due today (published by Bureau of Labor Statistics, delayed because of the U.S. government shutdown). The prior monthly reading (August) was +22,000 jobs — well below consensus ~75,000. Markets are cautious ahead of today’s print: the U.S. dollar index (USD X) has been strengthening, suggesting expectations are for a moderate outcome. The Importance: Stronger-than-expected jobs growth tends to bolster the USD (thus possibly weigh on gold). Conversely, a weak print could revive dovish expectations for Federal Reserve policy, boosting gold. Key Takeaway: With labor gains having been weak, a surprise upside could shift sentiment toward tighter or delayed Fed ease. A weak number may keep alive hopes of rate cuts/support for gold. #NFP #USgovt #USDollar##UnemploymentRate#

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*Gold Market Update – Key Points* Gold prices edged higher on Monday, briefly testing the *$4,100 level before retreating to around $4,050 as traders remained cautious ahead of major U.S. economic releases this week. Investor focus is on U.S. data, including Thursday’s September nonfarm payrolls, which will offer fresh insight into economic momentum and guide expectations for the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path. Rate-cut expectations have softened, with markets now pricing a 46% probability* of a quarter-point cut next month, down from 50% last week. Analysts say scaled-back expectations and lingering uncertainty after the government shutdown are weighing on gold. Several Fed policymakers have expressed reluctance toward further easing, citing persistent *inflation concerns* and signs of labour-market stability after two rate cuts this year. Gold, a non-yielding asset, typically benefits from lower interest rates and economic uncertainty, but current Fed hesitation is limiting upside momentum. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) remains firm, reducing gold’s appeal for holders of other currencies.

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Massive Bitcoin ETF Outflows Shake the Market — But a Comeback Begins Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.2B in outflows this week, one of the worst since launch. Thursday alone saw $900M withdrawn, the second-biggest daily outflow ever. This happened during Bitcoin’s six-week price drop, briefly touching $81,000 — down about 33% from October’s $126K high. Outflows increased as investors reacted to: Lower chances of a 3rd Fed rate cut in 2025 Worries about overvalued AI stocks Reduced appetite for risk assets BlackRock’s IBIT faced the hardest hit with over $1B outflows, followed by GBTC and FBTC. Friday reversed the mood — ETFs saw new inflows, including: Fidelity’s FBTC: +$108M Grayscale’s mini trust and GBTC also gained fresh investments. Analysts like Eric Balchunas stay positive, saying Bitcoin often rebounds stronger, calling it “like hot sauce” — volatile but powerful long term. #Bitcoin# #cryptocurrency#

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD wavers above $57.00 amid a brighter market mood Silver hesitates above $57.00 after a pullback from record highs at $58.85. An improved market sentiment is weighing on precious metals on Tuesday. Technical indicators suggest that a deeper correction is on the cards. #XAG/USD# #Silver#

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