📉 Morning Market Up...من NORDFX Global

13 Jun 2025, 15:21 · Views 96

📉 Morning Market Update | 13.06.2025 🌍 Geopolitical Shockwaves & Market Turmoil ⚔️ Global markets are in freefall after Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear sites, killing top Iranian military officials and scientists. The US500 sank -1.2%, US100 -1.4%, and US30 -1.1%. Israel declared a state of emergency, and Tehran has vowed retaliation — including reported drone incursions. Talks on Iran’s nuclear programme have collapsed. Washington distanced itself, urging calm while securing its regional assets. 📉 Investors fled to safety: • US 10Y Treasury yield fell for a 4th day, now at 4.34% • Gold and Treasuries in strong demand • Oil prices jumped a staggering +9%, the biggest surge in over 3 years ⚠️ 🌏 Asia-Pacific markets tumbled: • MSCI Asia Pacific: -1.1% • 🇯🇵 Topix: -1% • 🇦🇺 ASX 200: -0.4% • 🇭🇰 Hang Seng: -0.7% • 🇨🇳 Shanghai Comp: -0.7% Japan’s May industrial production also disappointed (-1.1% MoM). 💱 Forex Market: • USD recovered slightly in risk-off mood • CHF surged: USD/CHF fell -0.6% to 0.8056 • EUR/USD: -0.5% to $1.1523 • GBP/USD: -0.6% to $1.3537 • AUD/USD: -1.2% | NZD/USD: -1.1% 💥 ₿ Crypto not spared: • Bitcoin: -1.6% to $104,271 • Ethereum: -4.7% to $2,517 🧭 All eyes now on Iran’s next move — markets brace for potential escalation and continued volatility. #NordFX #MarketUpdate #Geopolitics #Oil #Forex #Bitcoin #Gold #SafeHaven #Iran #Israel #USD #Stocks #Inflation #Tariffs

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 6, 2026 📊 Asian Session Asian shares traded mostly higher on light, holiday-shortened trade. MSCI Asia Pacific Index +0.3%. 🇰🇷 Kospi led gains, +1.8% on tech strength. 🇭🇰 Hang Seng and 🇨🇳 Shanghai Composite edged up, while 🇯🇵 Nikkei and Seoul tech names were choppy earlier in the session. 🇮🇳 Sensex +0.23%, Nifty +0.15% at the open despite a softer rupee. 💵 FX & Commodities USD/JPY climbed to 161.92 as trading resumed after the July 4 holiday, dollar firm on cautious sentiment. 🛢️ Oil extended losses: Brent $71.87, WTI $68.59, pressured by OPEC+'s fifth straight output hike (+188k bpd). 🥇 Gold holding near $4,180–4,190/oz, consolidating after last week's bounce off 8-month lows. 📅 Key Drivers Fed's cautious tone continues to support risk appetite after last week's soft jobs data. US ISM Services PMI due today – watch for confirmation of slowing but resilient growth. Iran–US talks and Strait of Hormuz supply risk still steering oil sentiment. ⚠️ Stay sharp: light liquidity from the US holiday week can mean sharper moves on headlines. 📈 Trade the moves with NordFX!

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FOMC Minutes vs July Fed: What Changed After Warsh's First SEP? | NordFX Market Insight The Fed just showed its cards, and traders did not love the hand. 🎯 On July 8, the Fed released minutes from Kevin Warsh's first meeting as chair (June 16 to 17). Rate held at 3.50% to 3.75%, unanimous vote, but the tone underneath was pure hawk. Wording: Warsh cut the statement to just 130 words and dropped the old easing bias entirely. The minutes confirm it was deliberate: a few members already saw a case for hiking in June, they simply chose to wait. Dots: 18 of 19 officials submitted 2026 projections. Nine leaned toward a hike, eight saw no change, one still expected a cut. Median year end rate rose to 3.8% from 3.4% in March. Warsh submitted no dot at all, staying deliberately data dependent. That silence is now the market's biggest wildcard into September. 🧩 Inflation risk: Core PCE was revised up to 3.3% for 2026 from 2.7%. Most participants flagged upside risk from AI investment, tariffs, and Middle East tensions. GDP growth trimmed to 2.2%. Labour tolerance: June payrolls came in at just 57K, the weakest in four months, with April and May revised down a combined 74K. The minutes still call conditions stable, but that gap between hawkish talk and a cooling jobs market is exactly what's driving repricing now. Markets: dollar firmer since June, gold pulling back to the 4,150 to 4,175 zone before stabilizing. CME FedWatch leans toward a hold on July 28 to 29, but September stays a coin flip. Add Middle East risk keeping oil bid, and volatility isn't fading soon. ⚡ Bottom line: a Fed that talks less means every data point until September carries more weight. CPI on July 14 is the next big trigger. Trade the volatility with tighter spreads and faster execution. 🚀 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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📊 NordFX Morning Update – July 8, 2026 🌏 Asian session: Nikkei 225 flat near 68,220 after Tuesday's 2.1% tech-driven slide. Kospi extends losses, down 2.9% to 7,435 on AI-valuation jitters. Greater China outperforms. 🛢️ Oil: Brent surges 2.6% to $76.09 after US strikes on Iran; WTI at $72.25. 💵 USD/JPY: Near 40-year highs at 162.43, yen still under pressure despite intervention warnings from Tokyo. 💶 EUR/USD: Steady around 1.1414 in quiet Asian trade. 🥇 Gold: Holding near $4,100, soft on firmer dollar and profit-taking. 🏦 Central banks: FOMC minutes due today; RBNZ decision also today, ~72% odds of a hike from 2.25%. ⚠️ Volatility elevated – geopolitical risk in focus.

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📊 NordFX Market Watch: The Calendar Changes. Market Risk Does Not Disappear. A new quarter starts tomorrow, but the risks built up in June won't reset with it. 🔄 Quarter-end rebalancing is pulling flows in opposite directions, month-end models favor the dollar, quarter-end models favor selling it. Expect choppier price action as institutional books close. 💵 USD funding stays tight. The dollar index sits near a 13-month high, on track for its strongest month in nearly a year, as markets price in possible Fed hikes with September in focus. 🥇 Gold has slid toward $4,000, heading for its steepest quarterly drop on record, as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fed outweigh safe haven demand. 🛢️ Oil has fallen back near pre-war levels as Gulf tanker traffic resumes, but US-Iran terms remain unsettled, so every headline can still move the barrel fast. ₿ Crypto risk appetite has cooled. Bitcoin is down sharply from its spring highs, ETF outflows have picked up, and sentiment sits deep in fear territory. The calendar turns, but funding stress, geopolitics, and positioning carry straight into July. 🧭 👉 Trade the moves as they happen: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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PCE and GDP Day: What Growth and Inflation Together Tell Forex Traders | NordFX Today the US drops two heavyweight reports back to back: the third estimate of Q1 2026 GDP and the May Personal Income and Outlays report, home to the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, PCE. 📊 GDP growth was already revised down to 1.6% annualized in the second estimate, from 2.0% at the advance reading, on weaker consumer spending and investment. Since consumption drives nearly 70% of GDP, today's number is a real time read on how stretched US households are. Inflation has been climbing, not cooling. April's PCE ran 3.8% year over year, core at 3.3%, both well above the Fed's 2% target. Economists expect May's print to push higher, toward roughly 4.1% headline, the hottest since 2023, driven largely by the oil shock from the Israel Iran war that began in late February. 🛢️ There is a silver lining: crude has dropped sharply this week, with WTI near $70 and Brent near $73.50, the lowest since the war started, as ceasefire talks edge forward, though still fragile, with flashpoints in Lebanon and around the Strait of Hormuz. A cooler May reading would ease pressure on the Fed. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% in his first meeting on June 17, a fourth straight hold, but dropped dovish forward guidance. Half the committee now sees a hike by year end, and futures markets price roughly 70% odds of one by September. 🏦 That tension is exactly why today matters for FX. A hot PCE plus solid GDP would push the dollar, already near a one year high, even further, with EUR/USD pinned near 1.136 and gold sliding toward $4,000. A cooler surprise could spark a relief rally in EUR, GBP and gold, especially with sterling already weak on UK political turmoil. Expect a volatile session either way. ⚡ Open your NordFX account: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 🚀

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