🚨 Fed Cuts Rates as...من NORDFX Global

08 Nov 2024, 21:18 · Views 41

🚨 Fed Cuts Rates as Expected 🇺🇸📉 The Fed reduced rates to 4.75%-4.5%, signalling confidence in a steady economy. Despite elevated inflation, the Fed aims to reach its 2% target gradually. 👀 Eyes on Trump’s Policies 🇺🇸 With Trump elected, potential economic changes like tariffs could influence Fed policy, but they’ll adjust only as actual policies come into play. 📈 Markets Respond 📊 US assets had their best day of 2024, with stocks, bonds, and commodities all rising. S&P 500 nears 6,000, WTI oil is up, and bitcoin cooled slightly near $76k. Markets rally, relieved after the election, with more gains possible. 🔥 Stay tuned for December Fed Meeting! 📅

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NicolaiIta: Great broker. UK FCA regulated. Staff are extremely helpful and responsive. Tight spreads. EURUSD goes to 0 spread regularly. On top of all this, great investor potential.

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🌅 NordFX Morning Market Update | May 29, 2026 🌏 Asian Markets Asian stocks fell across the board on Thursday amid renewed Middle East tensions. Nikkei 225: -0.47% (64,693). Hang Seng: -1.27%. Kospi: -0.53% (8,185). ASX 200: -1.43% (8,593). The lone exception - China's CSI 300 eked out a +0.12% gain (4,914). 🇺🇸 Wall Street (May 28 close) S&P 500 closed at a record 7,564 (+0.58%). Nasdaq hit a record 26,917 (+0.91%). Dow edged up to 50,669 (+0.05%). Snowflake surged 36.5% - its best day ever - after strong earnings guidance and a $6B Amazon cloud deal reignited AI enthusiasm. Microsoft, Oracle and Palantir each gained 3-4%. 📊 Macro April PCE inflation (the Fed's preferred gauge) rose to 3.8% YoY - the highest since May 2023 - driven by the Hormuz energy shock. Core PCE: 3.3%. Q1 GDP was revised down to 1.6%. Rate cuts remain off the table. 🛢️ Oil WTI: ~$88/bbl | Brent: ~$92/bbl. Prices eased this morning after reports of a tentative 60-day US-Iran ceasefire extension, though Trump has not yet signed off. Iran's skepticism keeps the Strait of Hormuz risk alive. 🟡 Gold ~$4,500/oz - struggling near a 2-month low. Persistent inflation and reduced rate-cut expectations continue to weigh on the metal. ₿ Bitcoin ~$73,555 (-2.1%). Risk-off mood tied to geopolitical uncertainty and inflation fears drags crypto lower. 💱 Forex EUR/USD: ~1.1652. Dollar may strengthen further if US-Iran talks collapse, as energy-driven inflation raises the prospect of a more hawkish Fed. ⚠️ This is not investment advice. Trading involves risk.

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Correlation Breaks: Why Gold, USD and Stocks Don't Always Move as Expected 📊 Markets have one rule that never changes: the rules eventually break. The past 15 months proved it twice over. 2025: Gold ignored the script Gold surged ~65% through 2025 - its best year since 1979. But it didn't just rise when the dollar fell, as the textbook says. For long stretches it climbed alongside stocks too, lifted by the same liquidity tide. The classic inverse relationships quietly disappeared. Central banks were buying gold at record pace, driven by de-dollarization. Gold no longer needed a weak dollar to rally. It had its own structural bid. 🏦 2026: The script flipped - hard Then the US-Iran war began in late February. A major military conflict - and gold crashed, posting its worst monthly loss since 2008. Why? The war sent oil prices soaring, revived inflation fears, and killed rate-cut expectations. The dollar strengthened. Gold, which pays no yield, lost its appeal the moment rate hikes came back on the table. The safe haven sold off at peak geopolitical danger. 📉 Today, May 2026 Gold trades near $4,520/oz - still 34% above year-ago levels, but down ~14% since the conflict began. Peace negotiations with Iran are driving daily swings more than any macro model ever could. The real lesson 🎯 Correlations are tools, not laws. Gold can rise with stocks. War can sink gold. A strong dollar can coexist with a gold rally - and vice versa. The driver always matters more than the historical pattern. Understanding when the rules hold and when they break is the actual edge. Trade the market in front of you - not the one in the textbook. Start trading with NordFX 👇 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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Markets Do Not Pause Just Because the News Looks Quiet 📊 Today is Memorial Day - U.S. markets are officially closed. Quiet on the surface. But underneath? Anything but. The Dow closed Friday, May 22 at a record 50,579 points, rising for its third positive week out of four. The S&P 500 posted its eighth consecutive weekly gain - the longest winning streak since 2023. 📈 That rally was built on three simultaneous pressure points: Iran ceasefire optimism, strong corporate earnings, and a new Fed Chair stepping in. Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair at the White House on May 22, replacing Jerome Powell. He inherits a complex situation: 30-year Treasury yields briefly hit 5.2% this week, the highest level since 2007, driven by persistent inflation fears tied to the Middle East conflict. The Q1 2026 PCE price index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - came in at 4.5% annualized, more than double the 2% target. The Iran situation remains unresolved. The Strait of Hormuz - through which roughly 20% of global oil supply flows - is still a flashpoint. Brent crude is holding above $100 per barrel. Any breakdown in talks could reignite the energy shock. Any deal could change the inflation picture fast. This week brings the data that shapes the second half of 2026: 🗓️ Consumer Confidence - Tuesday Marvell, Salesforce, Dell, Costco earnings - mid-week Q1 GDP second estimate + April PCE inflation - Thursday BofA forecasts April PCE up 0.4% month-over-month. A hot print keeps rate hikes on the table. A soft one shifts the narrative. Quiet days are not neutral days. They are the days positions are built. 🎯 Start trading with NordFX: 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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NordFX | Month-End Rebalancing Before Central-Bank Month: What Traders Should Watch 📅 The final days of May - and June is opening with risk stacked on both sides. 💵 Thin liquidity, big flows Month-end rebalancing is active. Institutional portfolios are off-target after a volatile spring, and large FX adjustments are concentrating around the London 4 p.m. fix - historically a trigger for outsized moves on thin volume. The DXY hovers near 99.2, structurally soft but headline-sensitive. 🛢 Oil: the dominant macro variable Brent near $96/bbl, WTI near $88-93/bbl - both volatile as Iran pledged to restore Strait of Hormuz shipping, with the first non-Iranian supertankers crossing in a week. The Strait handles ~20% of global oil and LNG flows. Every twist in US-Iran talks is a direct price trigger. 🥇 Gold: correction, not breakdown Spot gold trades near $4,400-4,450 today, down ~21% from its January all-time high of $5,589. Higher oil pushed US CPI to 3.8% in April, killing rate cut expectations and strengthening the dollar. But central banks bought 243 tonnes in Q1 2026 alone (+35% quarter-over-quarter). Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan still target $5,400-6,300 by year-end. 🏦 First FOMC under Warsh - June 16-17 The Fed held at 3.50-3.75% in April on an 8-4 vote. Powell's term ended May 15; Kevin Warsh chairs his first meeting June 16-17. A hold is near-certain, but his guidance on the oil-inflation dynamic will set the tone for Q3 risk appetite. ECB meets June 18, Bank of England June 17. 📊 Today's key release Core PCE and Q1 GDP Final print today, with PCE expected near 3.8% year-over-year - nearly double the Fed's target. Any surprise will move USD pairs, gold and risk assets sharply into month-end close. The setup for fast moves is in place. Risk management is the trade. 💼 Trade it with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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