Morning traders, ban...من Smart Jet

Morning traders, bank holiday in Europe, so the week starts quiet and lightens up on Thursday with Powell's speech, ideally we want to be long USDs again into that speech and then continue with Dollar longs as we head into May with the FOMC, that's the majority of the plan going forward, long USDs into a 50bps hike and QT announcement in May 4 Will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute

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Morning traders, with the CPI everywhere I look I see notes about the likelihood of a strong print, Goldmans is also expecting a number a tiny bit above expectations so we are geared in that direction but obviously when the consensus is geared one way the risk is that the number doesn't meet the already high expectations triggering an unwind of positions So, even if the likelihood is USD strength we don't want to get into the event too long the Dollar, meaning that we will likely adjust the recently added AUDUSD short before the CPI later, then once we see the numbers and the price action around it we can start looking at some medium term direction across the board

Smart Jet

Morning traders, haven't pulled the trigger on GBPUSD shorts yet nor any other Dollar long, probably I'm being a bit too prudent but I feel the timing and market structure is not as good as it should for USD longs yet, arguably the market is also lacking catalysts to get a clear direction, GDP today is unlikely to be much of a market mover but PCE tomorrow without a doubt, I keep monitoring for an entry, also keeping in mind it's month end so we could see some random month end flows over the next two days, in other words, keeping it cautious, we have a fundamentally packed week next week with the FOMC and ECB rate decisions so no need to rush into trades right now Other than that, still standing ready to take profit on the BTC longs, if I see price above 30k I will be VERY tempted to do so, will send out a full email note with more details on why we are taking profit when we do so

Smart Jet

Morning traders, I have removed the EURGBP pending order already which looks too far to get filled now, I will keep an eye on it for an entry probably nearer 0.87400 now, will see Other than that, not a lot going on, EURUSD is still in the chop where we want to sell resistance rather than support, while something that catches my attention this morning is AUDUSD, I think that's near the tipping point of this rally so we might add to AUDUSD shorts soon, obviously keeping in mind that we have a big CPI number scheduled for tomorrow so we don't want to head with too much USD exposure into that, just in case Also crypto, remember to turn and stay defensive on BTC, looks like it's about to flush lower at any moment, which is good, we want price a lot lower to start thinking about loading up again

Smart Jet