#gold (Weekly 12/01 - 16/01/2026)
Range: 4427 - 4599, pivot point 4457
Expected price scenario: Increase first - Decrease later (as the week progresses)
With Gold closing above 4500, the upward trend is showing signs of returning. In the short term, the price will retest the historical peak around 4545 – a profit-taking phase is expected here, causing a sharp drop to around 4457 before extending to 4599.
Therefore, overall: The price scenario on Monday will present two price prospects:
1. Decrease first - increase later. - At that point, the price dropped to around 4493 (STP lost 4480) and then extended upwards to 4545.
- In the 4545 range (previous ATH), opportunities to sell based on profit-taking could be found. This downward price range is expected to head towards 4457.
- In the 4457 price range, look for opportunities to buy back up (STP expected 15 points) towards around 4599.
(The scenario is illustrated as shown in the chart above)
However, the scenario of a price drop on the second day followed by a further increase has a low probability of occurring.
Instead, the price is likely to extend its upward momentum quickly and strongly in the first trading session of the week towards 4545. The action plan then:
- Look for opportunities to sell at 4545 when there is a signal.
- Expect a short-term price drop to 4493 and a short-term recovery before extending to 4457.
- In the 4457 price range, still look for opportunities to buy similar to scenario (1).
- If the price rises to 4599, look for opportunities to sell - note: If the price is around 4600 and quickly drops back to <4550, consider the price confirmed to be falling for the remainder of the week and heading towards 4427.
Scenario illustrated by chart!!
In the near future, pay attention to January 16, 2026 – this is the date when Trump will make his final decision on the precious metals listed on the U.S. Important Minerals List.
Generally, the precious metals market in January 2026 will be volatile. Therefore, it's not yet the right time to discuss price "goes to the moon" and such.
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