Energy supply risk premia continues to melt out of crude oil prices, but the set-up for a tactical rebound is strengthening, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Rebound risks are strengthening
“Traders have concluded that this chapter of the conflict in the Middle East has ended, despite continued risks surrounding a potential tit-for-tat escalation and, regardless of its limited implications for global oil markets, some evidence that energy infrastructure in the Abadan refinery may have been damaged during the attacks.”
“Our return decomposition framework highlights that over the course of yesterday's session alone, supply risk premia sapped approximately -4.5% from Brent crude prices, whereas CTA selling activity added nearly -1% to the downmove. Looking forward, however, the set-up for a rebound is strengthening.”
إخلاء المسؤولية: الآراء الواردة هنا تعبر فقط عن رأي الكاتب، ولا تمثل الموقف الرسمي لـ Followme. لا تتحمل Followme مسؤولية دقة أو اكتمال أو موثوقية المعلومات المُقدمة، ولا تتحمل مسؤولية أي إجراءات تُتخذ بناءً على المحتوى، ما لم يُنص على ذلك صراحةً كتابيًا.
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