RBA’S HAUSER: ASSUME INFLATION STICKINESS DUE TO WEAKER SUPPLY, LABOR MARKET TIGHTNESS

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On Monday, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser spoke at the Economic Society of Australia Business Lunch in Brisbane.

Key quotes

Economic forecasts are subject to huge uncertainty.

Assume inflation stickiness due to weaker supply, labor market tightness.

But spare capacity could easily be much higher, or much lower than we assume.

Assume unemployment will rise only slowly, but risk of faster increase.

Assume household consumption to rise in line with real incomes.

Risk consumption could rise more strongly, in part due to increase in wealth.

Uncertain how far and fast savings rate might rise.


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