EUR/USD is comfortably trading under 1.0800. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

Can't argue with wider rate differentials

Two-year EUR:USD swap rate differentials are now at 145 bps in favour of the Dollar. These are the most supportive rate conditions for the dollar since December 2022. 

The 1.0695/1.0700 lows seen in mid-February are now an obvious short-term target. 

The US JOLTS data will have a big say in whether EUR/USD trades much below 1.0700 today, but equally a soft JOLTS figure could be worth a bounce back to 1.0770/1.0780