USD/MXN: INABILITY TO CROSS THE 200-DMA AT 17.27 COULD RESULT IN PERSISTENCE OF DECLINE – SOCGEN

USD/MXN must overcome the 200-Day Moving Average (DMA) at 17.27 to confirm short-term up move, analysts at Société Générale say.

Break below 16.78 can lead to one more leg of downtrend

USD/MXN has recently carved out a higher trough at 16.78 as compared to the one last year near 16.60. An initial bounce has taken shape, but the pair continues to struggle at reclaiming the 200-DMA near 17.27. This hurdle must be overcome to confirm a short-term uptrend. Inability to cross the 200-DMA could result in persistence of decline. 

Break below 16.78 can lead to one more leg of downtrend towards the last year low of 16.60/16.40.