The GBP/JPY cross trades with gains on Wednesday as hot inflation figures from the UK fueled a rise in the British Gilts, resulting in gains on the GBP ahead of Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy decision on Thursday. On the other hand, the Yen lost ground after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) minutes revealed that members consider it appropriate to maintain its dovish stance.
On Wednesday, the Office for National Statistics from the UK released that inflation, as per the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 8.7% YoY in May vs 8.4% and from its previous figure of 8.7% in April. In addition, the Core figure accelerated to 7.1%, above the 6.8% expected and from the last reading of 6.8%.
Considering this, the British yields are seeing gains across the curve. The 10-year bond yield rose to 4.48%, while the 2-year yield stands at 5.15% and the 5-year at 4.68%, respectively. That being said, the stronger case for BoE’s Thursday decision is a 25 basis point (bps) hike, which is only near 15% odds of a bigger hike of 50 bps as per World Interest Rate Possibilities (WIRP). In addition, eyes will be on the updated macroeconomic forecast and the vote split of the Monetary Police Committee (MPC).
On the other hand, following the release of the dovish minutes from April’s BoJ meeting, eyes are set on Friday's inflation figures from Japan. In that sense, economists anticipate a year-on-year increase in the CPI to reach 4.1%, surpassing the previous reading of 3.5%. Additionally, the Core inflation rate, which factors out the impact of oil and food prices, is projected to rise from the previous figure of 4.1% to 4.4%
إخلاء المسؤولية: الآراء الواردة هنا تعبر فقط عن رأي الكاتب، ولا تمثل الموقف الرسمي لـ Followme. لا تتحمل Followme مسؤولية دقة أو اكتمال أو موثوقية المعلومات المُقدمة، ولا تتحمل مسؤولية أي إجراءات تُتخذ بناءً على المحتوى، ما لم يُنص على ذلك صراحةً كتابيًا.
اترك رسالتك الآن