Economists at Danske Bank analyze EUR/USD outlook ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting.

EUR/USD seen at 1.06/1.03 on 6M/12M

We stick to our strategic case for a lower EUR/USD in the second half, as we expect relative growth differentials to favour the USD despite lower carry. 

We see the cross at 1.06/1.03 on 6M/12M. 

Today, potentially hawkish ECB could drive the EUR/USD pair higher, which could give rise to selling opportunities.