Economists at Société Générale analyze EUR/USD technical outlook.

Upside capped at 1.0860/1.0900

The pair has formed an interim trough near 1.0630. An initial bounce is underway, however, it would be interesting to see if it can reclaim 1.0860/1.0900, the 61.8% retracement of the down move. Failure could mean possibility of one more down leg.  

Next important support zone is located at 1.0510/1.0480 representing low of March and the 200-DMA. In case the pair fails to defend it, there would be risk of a larger downtrend.