USD Index focused on data, Fedspeak

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The index advances for the fourth consecutive session amidst the continuation of the weekly recovery in levels last seen back in early January.

The relentless march north in the dollar comes despite some loss of upside momentum in US yields across the curve and appears underpinned by the perception that the Fed could remain within a more restrictive territory for longer.

So far, CME Group’s FedWatch Tool sees the probability of a 25 bps rate hike at nearly 72%, while the terminal rate is seen beyond the key 5.0% level.

In the US docket, the PCE/Core PCE will be in the limelight along with Personal Income, Personal Spending, New Home Sales and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge.

In addition, FOMC Governor P.Jefferson (permanent voter, centrist) and Cleveland Fed L.Mester (2024 voter, hawk) are also due to speak.

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