GOLD PRICE FORECAST: XAU/USD SLIPS BELOW $1930 AFTER US PCE AND UOM CONSUMER SENTIMENT

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  • US Dollar climbs as the Federal Reserve preferred gauge for inflation,  with core PCE creeping lower.
  • According to the University of Michigan (UoM) poll, US consumers’ inflation expectations edged lower.
  • Gold Price Analysis: The rally from $1,616.71 to $1,949.16 could end, as a doji emerged in the weekly chart.

Gold price falls for the second consecutive day, but it remains above January’s 26 low of $1,918.74 and stays sideways, following the release of inflation data in the United States (US). The US Dollar (USD) shortened its drop during the week, while US Treasury bond yields are rising, two additional reasons behind Gold’s loss of its brightness. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD is trading at $1,924.39 after hitting a daily high of $1,935.06.

US Core PCE, the Fed’s gauge for inflation, cooled down

Wall Street turned green after the US Department of Commerce (DoC) revealed that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) preferred gauge for inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for December, rose 4.4% YoY, aligned with estimates, but lower than November’s 4.7%. The same report showed that headline inflation climbed 5% on a yearly basis, above the Fed’s 2% target. That said, data showed that inflation has begun to trend downwards finally, and traders brace for the Federal Reserve’s meeting next week. Speculations had been mounting that the Fed might raise rates by 25 bps, which would mark the end of 50-plus bps rate increases to the Federal Funds rate (FFR).

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