Immediately after the October CPI results crossed the wires, the U.S. dollar, as measured by the DXY index, took a sharp turn to the downside, falling more than 1.4% on the back of a steep pullback in U.S. Treasury yields. Weakening inflationary pressures could lead the Fed to adopt a less hawkish stance and slow the pace of interest rate increases as soon as its next meeting to avoid excessive tightening at a time when recession risks remain elevated.
This means we could see a 50 bp hike in December instead of a 75 bp adjustment?
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