市场回顾与分析
周二，最为引人注目的事件在于西班牙加泰罗尼亚地区领导人普伊格蒙特的讲话。原先舆论预期其可能在这次讲话中宣告该地区的未来走向。在10月1日，加泰罗尼亚曾举行独立公投，获得90%赞成票。西班牙中央政府则宣布公投无效。早前有媒体报道称，普伊格蒙特或在此次讲话中宣布独立。
也因此，在普伊格蒙特发表演讲之前，避险资产均有着比较不错的表现。不过，在这次讲话之中，普伊格蒙特表示将搁置独立宣言数周，首先寻求与西班牙政府谈判，通过合理的对话进行调解。市场对此的反应是相对比较积极的，以黄金以及日元为代表的避险资产在此后出现回落。不过需要特别关注的是，这并不代表加泰罗尼亚事件的终结。其领导人称之后仍会伺机宣布独立。后续我们将继续跟踪事件进展。
欧元/美元在周二获得反弹，录得了九月初以来的最佳表现。而ICE美元指数，则录得了一个月以来的最大单日跌幅。不过由于过去一个月中两者的波动幅度都不是很大，所以这里的最佳以及最大，并没有字面意义上那么突出。
在加泰罗尼亚事件暂时告一段落之后，市场风险情绪十分积极。道琼斯指数再次创下收盘纪录新高，为今年以来第47次创收盘纪录新高。恐慌指数VIX隔夜下跌2.42%，收于10.08
黄金基本面分析
黄金基本面利多因素：
1.特朗普表示对付朝鲜，只有一件事管用，但没有对此做进一步的阐述。。
点评：市场避险情绪的上涨，利好黄金。
黄金基本面利空因素：
1.耶伦承认可能高估通胀回升，称在通胀疲软、中性利率偏低时，渐进式加息尤其适合；行动太快有风险，但也应小心太过循序渐进。
点评：整体基调偏向鹰派。美联储货币政策紧缩，利好美元，利空黄金。
技术面分析
黄金日线图
黄金在上周五晚受美国非农数据的影响.短线急速下跌至1260之后 当夜在1260低位急速拉升.结束了黄金九月份连续下跌的趋势.给黄金多头带来了一线希望.目前从黄金日图看到今天位置黄金上涨了不到30美元.多头走的还是比较艰难的.还没有透明的方向.
黄金4小时图
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اترك رسالتك الآن